A system off the east coast of Florida could develop into a tropical depression early next week.
The National Hurricane Center predicts an increasing likelihood that a subtropical or tropical depression will form in the Atlantic and potentially threaten Florida over the next five days.
“Environmental conditions should be favorable for gradual development, and a subtropical or tropical depression could form early next week as the system generally moves west-northwestward over the Atlantic. southwest,” the center’s latest advisory said.
The depression could develop into a tropical storm or even a low-end hurricane that threatens Florida’s east coast, but it’s still too early to tell.
“In the worst case, and I’m speculating a bit here, it could be a tropical storm or maybe a low-end hurricane,” said Shawn Bhatti, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service Miami. “I can’t rule out a low-end hurricane, but again, it’s still very early and we don’t have enough confidence to say for sure.”
Much of South Florida could see high winds and excessive rainfall next week as early as Tuesday, depending on how the system is developing, according to the National Weather Service Miami.
Barry Baxter, also a meteorologist for the National Weather Service Miami, encouraged South Floridians to stay vigilant throughout the weekend.
“We are technically still in hurricane season until the end of this month,” he said. “So don’t let your guard down just because it’s November. It’s rare that we get them at this time of year, but we could still get them.
As of 5 p.m. Saturday, forecasters predict that a large non-tropical low pressure system will develop this weekend over the northeast Caribbean Sea and southwest Atlantic near Puerto Rico.
The chances of development over the next five days increased Saturday afternoon to 70%. The system has a 40% chance of developing within the next 48 hours.
On Tuesday, which is also Election Day, voters in South Florida will likely start to feel the effects as the system draws in humidity from the Caribbean Sea. Forecasters predict risks of wind, lightning, excessive precipitation and coastal flooding that day.
“It’s going to be loose at this point, but will definitely bring some moisture,” Baxter said. “It’s going to be a rainy day.”
The National Weather Service Miami said in a briefing on Saturday that there remains “low confidence” in “any specific details about the magnitude and location of weather impacts that are highly dependent on the type of system approaching. our region next week”.
But regardless of the type of system, there is an increased risk of gusty winds, coastal flooding, high seas, choppy waves and beach erosion on Florida’s east coast from Monday and continuing throughout the week, according to the weather service.
“The risk of gusty winds and heavy rain may increase over much of the southern Florida peninsula next week depending on how this system develops,” the National Weather Service Miami said in its briefing. Saturday.
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Forecasters are also monitoring an area of weak low pressure located several hundred miles east-southeast of Bermuda which has now increased to a 40% chance of developing within the next two days and a 50% chance of developing. develop over the next five days. A subtropical or tropical depression could form over the next few days, but a strong cold front should halt any further development.
Former hurricane Lisa dissipated Saturday morning over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico.
By 11 a.m., Lisa’s maximum sustained winds had diminished to 25 mph, and her remnants were moving north at nearly 5 mph.
post-tropical cyclone Martin moved slowly east on Friday and is expected to move east to east-southeast over the weekend, the center advisory said. Its winds will slow over the next few days but remain strong over the weekend, creating “dangerous winds and seas over a very wide area of the North Atlantic for the next two days”.
There have been two major hurricanes, meaning Category 3 or higher, so far this season.
NOAA has predicted that at least four more hurricanes will form before the official end of hurricane season on Nov. 30.
The next named storm to form will be Nicole.
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