With a handful of Baltimore’s offensive weapons likely sidelined, we expect Lamar Jackson to continue to rely on Devin Duvernay. We’re targeting his meager reception total in our Monday Night Football picks and predictions below.
A non-conference clash takes center stage in the NFL Week 9 ratings with the Baltimore Ravens coming to the Big Easy to take on the New Orleans Saints on Monday Night Football.
Baltimore opened as a field goal favorite at New Orleans, but with injuries on the offensive side of the ball, NFL odds for that gap dwindled to Ravens -1.
The Saints know a thing or two about playing through pain, having been plagued with injuries in the first half of the season. Despite missing plenty of talent, New Orleans drove in runs and is coming off a strong two-way performance in a shutout win last week.
I break down the point spread and Over/Under total for Monday Night Football and give my top NFL picks and predictions for Ravens vs Saints on November 7.
Also: Check out our free bets on MNF player props and our Alvin Kamara prop picks for the final contest of Week 9.
Best Ravens vs Saints Odds
Ravens vs Saints picks and predictions
If you check out my weekly NFL Underdogs column, you’ll see I took the points with the New Orleans Saints earlier in the week at +3, but with that gap moving, the best of the number left. If you don’t march with the Saints, then this gamer accessory is for you.
With Lamar Jackson’s top two targets likely out of action (and possibly WR Demarcus Robinson as well) and the Saints’ run defense looking to lock down a shackled ground game in Baltimore, wide receiver Devin Duvernay becomes a key member of that Baltimore Ravens attack on Monday night.
Duvernay enters Week 9 with total receiving yards pegged at 43.5 yards, but will likely see an increase in snaps and targets against the Saints, simply due to Baltimore running out of receiving options.
Duvernay is averaging about 39 yards through the air per game and has topped his receiving yard prop in five of eight games this season, despite having lower target totals. His highest yardage total was 40.5 yards in Weeks 5 and 6 and his last two yard counts were 35.5 yards.
That slight increase to 43.5 O/U yards against NOLA doesn’t reflect the potential uptick in activity Duvernay will be shooting with these other players. And if New Orleans can thwart the Ravens’ run game, Jackson may have no choice but to let it fly Monday night.
The 5-foot-11 speedster is versatile and bounces from the outside to the slot, delivering quick shots and yards after the catch as well as deeper threat. Duvernay showed that explosiveness with a 31-yard diving catch against the Browns in Week 7 and is now coming to the fast inside track at the Superdome.
The Saints’ defense is notoriously stingy against the run, but its passing defense ranks 17th in the EPA allowed by backstop and will be without corner stop Marshon Lattimore, who would have drawn Duvernay into coverage.
In my opinion, Duvernay’s current Over/Under prop doesn’t accurately reflect how much he’ll be counted on Monday night. This prop measures up to 46.5 yards in some books, so buy the smallest number you can find.
my best bet: Devin Duvernay Over 43.5 receiving yards (-120)
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Ravens vs Saints spread analysis
Last week’s anticipation line listed the Ravens as big as road chalk at 4 points after beating Tampa Bay on Thursday in Week 8 and enjoying a mini-bye due to the schedule. However, with the injuries piling up in attack, that gap went from -3 to -2.5 from his first official game.
On Sunday morning, it was reported that RB Gus Edwards and TE Mark Andrews were doubts for Monday, following news that WR1 Rashod Bateman would miss the rest of the season through injury. That leaves Baltimore without its top three weapons on offense and narrowed that gap to Ravens -1 in some respected online books.
New Orleans looked great on both sides of the ball in Week 8, shutting out Las Vegas 24-0 for just their second win in the last seven games. The Saints’ depth chart has been diminished for most of the year, but continues to produce points. The offense has scored 24 or more points in five straight games, ranking 7th in the EPA per game since Week 4.
WynnBET is reporting an interesting split in action, with 65% of the betting numbers on Baltimore but over 77% of the money backing NOLA at home on Monday night.
Ravens vs Saints Over/Under analysis
The official Week 9 Over/Under opened at 48 points Sunday night and has since declined to 46.5 points, with those injuries to the Ravens’ skill positions.
Baltimore once ran one of the slowest offensive paces in the NFL – second in seconds per game – and its heavy offense is now coming up against a New Orleans run-stopping unit that has been the elite year. after year. The Saints have the lowest EPA per transfer allowed in the league at the start of Week 9.
The Ravens’ defense bolstered its roster at the trade deadline by adding NFL leading tackle Roquon Smith in a deal with Chicago, hoping the linebacker can spark a unit that underperformed in its first year under coordinator Mike MacDonald. Baltimore enters Week 9 ranking 17th in defensive DVOA at Football Outsiders and 27th in EPA allowed per play on the year.
New Orleans produced a 5-3 O/U tally in 2022, while Baltimore sits at 3-5 O/U. The WynnBET books return 55% of bets on the Under which also collected 80% of the money wagered on the total.
Ravens vs Saints betting trend you need to know
Under is 13-6 in Baltimore’s last 19 road games. Find more NFL betting trends for Ravens vs Saints.
Ravens vs Saints game information
|Location:||Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA|
|Date:||Monday, November 7, 2022|
|To start up:||8:15 p.m. ET|
|Opening dimensions:||Saints +3.5, 48.5 O/U|
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