Democrats, Republicans bring familiar faces to Pennsylvania campaign trail

Political pundits issue midterm election predictions, most conclude GOP takes House, Senate overturns

Voters are preparing to head to the polls on Tuesday and take part in the most divisive political showdown of the year – the 2022 midterm elections. While several political insiders are divided over who will take control of the Senate and the House, others think the Republicans will take the majority in both houses.

Political insiders on both sides of the aisle have provided Fox News Digital with their predictions ahead of Election Day as residents of states across the country, Republicans and Democrats, finalize decisions on who they think will best serve their interests. in Congress.

The Senate remains a toss-up. Fox News Power Ranking show 47 seats for Democrats and 49 for Republicans, leaving four crucial races to decide Senate control: Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and Pennsylvania.

Fox News Power Rankings forecast expects Republicans to take control of the House with a 19majority of the seats, i.e. 236 seats in total. That’s a gain of 23 seats from the number they hold in Congress today.

FOX NEWS POWER RANKINGS: REPUBLICANS SHOULD CONTROL HOUSE, BUT BOTH PARTIES EXPECT WAYS IN SENATE

Left to right: John Fetterman, Democratic Senate candidate from Pennsylvania, Mehmet Oz, Republican Senate candidate from Pennsylvania, Raphael Warnock, Democratic Senate candidate from Georgia, and Herschel Walker, Republican Senate candidate from Georgia.

Left to right: John Fetterman, Democratic Senate candidate from Pennsylvania, Mehmet Oz, Republican Senate candidate from Pennsylvania, Raphael Warnock, Democratic Senate candidate from Georgia, and Herschel Walker, Republican Senate candidate from Georgia.
(Hannah Beier/Bloomberg, Mark Makela, Elijah Nouvelage, Megan Varner via Getty Images)

Josh Kraushaar: Democrats have a ‘fighting chance’ to win some Senate races, but lose House majority

“Given the extent to which Democrats play defense in blue districts, it’s hard to see how Democrats hold their narrow majority in the House.

“Democrats have a chance of winning tight Senate races, but Republicans have a favorable chance of winning the seat needed to regain a majority. It would take a big Republican wave to win more than two seats, though.”

Kraushaar is a Fox News contributor and senior correspondent for Axios.

Chuck Rocha: “On the way to a second round in Georgia and Louisiana”

“By next Wednesday, I think we’ll win a US Senate seat (we’re winning Pennsylvania). very different story. The House Party Committee and their Super PAC, as well as their campaign, did not have a good mid-term strategy. Of the 30 most vulnerable Democratic fringe seats, half of them have large Latino populations and NONE of these campaigns [have] a single Hispanic campaign manager, media consultant, or courier company. I feel like we’re losing those seats. Because, again, the House committee was relying on woke white consultants to solve their Hispanic problem.”

“We’re losing: TX-15 – 74% Hispanic, AZ-6 20%, FL-27 68%, CO-08 30%, TX-28 76%, NV-03 18%, NV-02 15%, OR- 05 10% and so on…”

Rocha is a Democratic strategist and former senior presidential campaign adviser to Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-VT.

Georgia Republican Senate candidate Herschel Walker, left, and Georgia incumbent Senator Raphael Warnock, right.

Georgia Republican Senate candidate Herschel Walker, left, and Georgia incumbent Senator Raphael Warnock, right.
(AP Photo/John Bazemore)

Scott Rasmussen: Republicans take Senate, Democrats lose House majority

“Republicans [take] 53 seats in the Senate, the GOP wins 30 seats in the House. At least one surprising upset in government racing.”

Rasmussen is a pollster and president of RMG Research.

CONCERNS OVER ‘QUALITY OF CANDIDATES’ fade as Republicans close gaps with Democrats in Senate races

Emily Ekins: “There may be more red waves this year than we think”

“The midterm elections are very different now than they were two weeks ago, with Senate races tightening across the country and Republicans taking the lead. Eighty percent of Americans think we “We’re in a recession right now or we’ll have one next year. Economic pessimism — coupled with high inflation, high gas prices, and high interest rates — is hurting Democrats and giving Republicans an edge.”

“Based on polling patterns, I expect Republicans to take the House and now the Senate, but the seat margin may be tight in the Senate. Polls in major Senate races show more Americans want Republicans to take control of the Senate than vote for their Republican candidate for the state Senate.This suggests that Republicans are fielding weaker candidates in some key races.Roe’s overthrow has also helped Democrats, but does not appear to have overcome voter concerns about inflation.

“There is a real possibility that polls will again underestimate Republican support. There are some markers of nonresponse bias, in particular Democrats are more enthusiastic about participating in polls in some key states . So there may be more red waves this year than we think.”

Ekins is Vice President and Director of Surveys for the Cato Institute.

Pennsylvania Senate candidates John Fetterman, a Democrat, and Dr. Mehmet Oz, a Republican, take part in a debate October 25 in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania.

Pennsylvania Senate candidates John Fetterman, a Democrat, and Dr. Mehmet Oz, a Republican, take part in a debate October 25 in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania.
(NewsNation)

Kevin Walling: Democrats ‘going to have a good night’

“Despite tough polling over the past few days for the Democratic candidates, I think the blue team is actually going to have a good night, bucking historical midterm trends in a number of key races…I believe that the lieutenant governor [John] Fetterman will flip the Pennsylvania seat, with Rep. Tim Ryan in Ohio…Sen. [Mark] Kelly will take up his seat in Arizona, Sen. [Maggie] Hassan will get another term representing New Hampshire and Sen. [Catherine] Cortez Masto will cling to Nevada. It’s likely that the Georgia Senate will go to a runoff in December, and despite an excellent campaign led by Lt. Governor Mandela Barnes, I think Sen. Ron Johnson will likely win a third term as Representative from Wisconsin.

“Democrats will keep the governor’s mansions in Pennsylvania, Kansas, Michigan, Maine, Nevada, New York and Illinois and take back both Maryland and Massachusetts, for the first time in eight years. I think who we’re likely to miss in Florida, Texas and Georgia. Kevin McCarthy will finally fulfill his dream of becoming Speaker of the House by winning a dozen seats.”

Walling is a Democratic strategist and serves as vice president of HGCreative.

Incumbent Wisconsin Senator Ron Johnson, a Republican, and his Democratic challenger, Mandela Barnes.

Incumbent Wisconsin Senator Ron Johnson, a Republican, and his Democratic challenger, Mandela Barnes.
(AP Photo/Morry Gash)

Tony Sayegh: Democrats ‘will pay heavy political price’ midterm

“The year began with hopes of a red wave. Summer raised fears of a red wave although the start of the fall election campaign showed signs of strength for Republicans as voters are refocused on the economy, crime and immigration. It’s actually quite simple – Republicans have spoken about issues that voters care about and Democrats have spoken about issues that matter to them. And they will pay a heavy medium-term political tribute for being so disconnected.

“House Republicans could win over 250 seats, giving Kevin McCarthy a very strong ruling majority. Look for strategic Republican pickups in traditionally blue states like New York and California.”

“It’s more than likely that the Republicans will take control of the Senate… The Democrats are very likely to lose Nevada, Arizona and Georgia.

“But perhaps the best indicator of what could be a red tsunami can be found in some of the country’s most compelling gubernatorial races. If Republicans win gubernatorial victories in New York, Michigan, Connecticut or Oregon, that would be a catastrophic rebuke from the Democrats.”

Sayegh is a former Trump administration official and Republican strategist.

House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy, R-Calif., talks about Republicans

House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy, R-Calif., speaks about the Republicans’ “Pledge to America” ​​program at DMI Companies in Monongahela, Pa., Friday, Sept. 23, 2022.
(AP Photo/Barry Reeger)

FINAL COUNTDOWN: HERE’S WHAT IS AT STAKE IN NEXT WEEK’S MIDTERM ELECTIONS

Jonathan Kott: Democrats ‘could surprise a lot of people’ in House election

“Despite historical trends, I think Democrats will have a good night. The House will be tough, but moderate Democrats are running strong races and could surprise a lot of people. In the Senate, I still believe that Tim Ryan, who led the best race of any candidate this year, will win because he is the most genuine candidate in the race. The same goes for John Fetterman, who, with the help of Josh Shapiro, [is] going to pull a win. The other races are a draw.”

“The one thing I know for sure is that all the Democrats are going to eat peaches in Georgia in December.”

Kott is the former director of communications for Sen. Joe Manchin, DW.Va., and Sen. Chris Coons, D-Del.

William Doyle: Walker defeats Warnock in Georgia, Kemp fends off Abrams

“In the absence of the CTCL-funded Georgia GOTV effort, I predict that Herschel Walker will beat Raphael Warnock by AT LEAST 85,000 votes, or about 1.5 points. I don’t think the election will go on for a second. Remember, Warnock almost certainly would have lost in the first round of his November 3, 2020, Senate election if Doug Collins didn’t tie the Republican vote with Kelly Loeffler.

“Of course, Kemp will easily beat Stacey Abrams by at least 8 points, and it’s hard to imagine enough ticket splitters in GA to move the race to Warnock.”

Doyle is the research director of the Caesar Rodney Election Research Institute.

Republican Georgia Governor Brian Kemp and his Democratic challenger Stacey Abrams face off during a debate on October 30, 2022 in Atlanta.

Republican Georgia Governor Brian Kemp and his Democratic challenger Stacey Abrams face off during a debate on October 30, 2022 in Atlanta.
(AP Photo/Ben Gray)

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The Democrats currently hold a slim majority in the upper house with 50 seats under their party’s control. Because Vice President Kamala Harris has the ability to cast deciding votes, Democrats only need 50 seats to retain power.

It remains to be seen whether the results of Tuesday’s midterm elections will serve as a referendum on President Biden and the Democratic policies implemented over the past two years.

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